Coronavirus: towards strict containment despite local measures?

Published by Rizhlaine de Sortiraparis · Photos by Rizhlaine de Sortiraparis · Published on March 30th, 2021 at 10:02 a.m.
As the coronavirus epidemic gathers pace, the government opts for local restrictions. But will this be enough to save France from another strict national confinement in the spring of 2021?

The executive branch, and in particular the head of state Emmanuel Macron, have made it quite clear: the beginning of spring promises to be difficult. One year after the first national containment, the virus is actively circulating in France, and with good reason: the country must now face up to the threat of more transmissible variants of the coronavirus, which are leading to an increase in contaminations. The battle is being waged on two fronts:accelerating the vaccination campaign and limiting the spread of covid 19.

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For the time being, the government prefers to opt for local, less stringent measures than those we have seen in the past. 19 départements have been placed under hybrid containment, and curfews have been delayed by an hour across the country to coincide with the switch to summer time. This is an attempt to avoid a national lockdown and the psychological and economic consequences of even the most drastic measures.

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But will this be enough to avoid strict reconfinement in France in 2021? In principle, the impact of the new local restrictions that came into force on March 20 should already be measurable. The first effects should then be visible after two weeks.

If hospital tensions are high in the worst-affected departments, the prospect of being able to carry out medical evacuations, i.e. transfer covid patients to areas relatively unaffected by theepidemic, could help counter the problem of high occupancy rates. However, if hospitals nationwide are approaching saturation point, then the decision may be unavoidable. On March 23, 2021, the occupancy rate in the intensive care unit was 91.6%. This is higher than when the decision on the second containment was announced: on October 29, 2020, it was 62.2%. In the Île-de-France region, hospitals estimate that their capacity will be exceeded within a fortnight.

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