Is the situation getting better in Île-de-France? The Paris area has been faced with the coronavirus epidemic for several weeks which made hospitals very worried as they feared to be overwhelmed in the coming days. So, as Paris and the entire region have been placed on hybrid lockdown since March 20, 2021, it seems these very restrictions are paying off. By late March, the incidence rate declined for the first time in several Île-de-France departments, even though data are still high.
As of April 10, the decrease - first slow - is now confirmed in all Île-de-France departments. In Paris, after a peak at 630.5 as of April 2, 2021, the incidence rate dropped to 517. In Seine-Saint-Denis, the the situation peaked on March 30 with 832.3 cases for 100,000 inhabitants; and according to the latest data, it now reached 689.2. Another department where the virus was especially active, Val d'Oise. After peaking at 865 as of April 1, the incidence moves down to 663.4. In Val-de-Marne, it moves from 749 as of April 1 to 595.1 as of April 10, while in Seine-et-Marne, it goes from 750.1 on March 30, to 542.2.
The same trend is also noticed in Île-de-France departments where the virus was less active. In Yvelines, after peaking to 601.9 cases for 100,000 inhabitants as of March 30, the latest data now set the incidence rate to 451.5. In Essonne, it goes from 645.8 as of April 1 to 508.5 as of April 10. Last but not least, in Hauts-de-Seine, the incidence rate moved from 567.5 as of March 29, 2021 to 466.5.
Careful though, although the incidence rate is currently decreasing, hospitals' occupancy rate keeps on growing because the recovery path for Covid patients is long. The impacts of the measure on the hospital pressure usually take two more weeks than those related to the incidence rate. Please remain cautious.