Covid: between 50,000 and 150,000 daily cases predicted by 3 weeks

Published by Alexandre G. · Photos by My B. · Updated on 24 July 2021 at 17h25 · Published on 23 July 2021 at 16h52
Because of the spectacular resurgence of the Delta variant in France for the past weeks, observers are starting again to comply with predictions. As stated by CovidTracker founder Guillaume Rozier this Friday July 23, 2021, given the current evolution of the Covid-19 epidemic markers, there could be up to 150,000 new cases per day in France by 3 weeks, namely in mid-August. Scientific Committee President Jean-François Delfraissy shares the same concerns.

Given the current Covid-19 epidemic data in France, the number of new cases could explode by 3 weeks. So much that it could reach a concerning threshold: up to 150,000 new Covid-19 cases per day. In the best of cases, there could be at least 50,000 new infections reported every day by mid-August, as Scientific Committee President Jean-François Delfraissy says this Friday July 23, 2021 on BFMTV.

Consequently, the president of the institution entrusted with guiding the executive in managing the health crisis is worried about the immediate impacts of the fourth wave in hospital units. With the fear of reaching a situation similar to the previous waves, and overwhelmed hospitals. With this in mind, the professor calls for complying more than ever with “simple precautions”. He thinks this could help “winning probably 20% in terms of hospitalization”.

Tweet reads: “If the current case growth rate goes on, there will be 143,000 cases per day… in 3 weeks”.

Furthermore, Delfraissy is not the only once concerned about the evolution of the coronavirus epidemic in France. CovidTracker founder Guillaume Rozier tweeted a forecast of the outbreak of new daily Covid-19 infection cases. “If the current case growth rate goes on, there will be 143,000 cases per day… in 3 weeks”, he tweeted, worried. He also reminds in another tweet “this is no prediction, but a simple forecast subject to a hypothesis enabling to assess the dynamic of the current situation’s evolution”.

For all it takes, should we already sound the alarm and calling for battle actions such as lockdown and new restrictions? In the very middle of summer, while the health pass is extended since Wednesday July 21, after a tiring year, some of the French would rather put things into perspective. Answering to Rozier, an Internet user shared the map of France showing Covid-19 deaths at the hospital, found on CovidTracker. For 100,000 inhabitants, indicators are green almost everywhere.

Tweet reads: “What is the point of scaring everyone with a non-deadly variant?

The fourth Covid-19 wave could have no dramatic consequences on hospitals, then. But according to epidemiologists and hospital staff, nothing could be less certain: the number of people hospitalized in ICU or resuscitation units have been growing for a few days. And projections are not better… We get it, this summer 2021, you need to be extra cautious towards Covid-19 and the dangerous Delta variant.

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