Based on current figures for the Covid-19 epidemic in France, the number of new cases could explode within the next 3 weeks. To the point of reaching a worrying plateau: up to 150,000 new cases of Covid-19 per day. In the best-case scenario, there could be at least 50,000 new infections reported daily by mid-August, as Scientific Advisory Board Chairman Jean-François Delfraissy indicated on BFMTV this Friday, July 23, 2021.
Consequently, the president of the institution responsible for guiding the executive in health crisis management is concerned about the immediate repercussions of the fourth wave in hospital departments. He fears that the situation will be similar to that of previous waves, with hospitals reaching saturation point. With this in mind, the professor calls for"simple precautions" to be observed more than ever. This, he believes, could help to"save probably 20% in terms of hospitalization".
If the current growth rate of cases continues, we'd have 143,000 cases a day... in 3 weeks pic.twitter.com/5RByYhEkqQ
- GRZ (@GuillaumeRozier) July 23, 2021
Jean-François Delfraissy isn't the only one worried about theevolution of the coronavirus epidemic in France. Guillaume Rozier, founder of the CovidTracker website, tweeted about the statistical surge in new daily cases of Covid-19 infection. "If the current rate of growth continues, we'll have 143,000 cases a day... in 3 weeks", he warns. In another tweet, he reminds us that"this is not a prediction, but a simple projection subject to a hypothesis, which allows us to assess the dynamics of the evolution of the current situation".
So, should we already be sounding the alarm bell and calling for confinement and the return of restrictions? In the middle of summer, as the health pass extends its constraints since Wednesday July 21, after a trying year for many French people, some prefer to put things into perspective. In response to Guillaume Rozier's question, a web user posted the French map of hospital deaths due to Covid-19, captured on CovidTracker. Per 100,000 inhabitants, the indicators are green almost everywhere.
What's the relevance of wanting to scare everyone with a non-lethal variant? pic.twitter.com/Gby52l6nGh
- Richard Yézéguélian (@Richard3171) July 23, 2021
A fourth wave of Covid-19 that would therefore have no dramatic consequences in hospitals? For epidemiologists and hospital staff, nothing is less certain: the number of people admitted to intensive care units has been rising steadily over the past few days. And the projections aren't much better... In the summer of 2021, extreme caution is called for in the face of Covid-19 and its dangerous Delta variant.
Coronavirus in Paris and Ile-de-France: 0 Covid deaths in 24 hours and 251 serious cases
We take stock of the situation in Paris and the Île-de-France region. Find out more about the specific situation in the Paris region, by department. This Friday June 30th, 2023, 0 additional deaths in 24 hours and 251 serious cases in intensive care. [Read more]
Find out the latest figures on the covid-19 epidemic in France. According to the latest report from Santé Publique France, France has reported a total of +10 additional deaths. There are this Friday June 30th, 2023, 167,664 deaths in total and +985 new cases confirmed in 24 hours. [Read more]
Coronavirus in Paris and Ile-de-France: 0 Covid deaths in 24 hours and 251 serious cases
Coronavirus in France this Friday June 30th, 2023: +10 deaths from Covid and +985 new cases
