The weather in Paris and Île-de-France is forecast to be fairly mild from Monday, 12 to Sunday, 18 October 2026. After rain and chill in recent days, an anticyclone takes charge again and brings dry weather, with afternoons reaching 22 or 23 degrees by midweek. The weekend, which opens the All Saints' Day holidays, is expected to be noticeably cooler.
Paris (75) isn’t the only area in the spotlight. The Hauts-de-Seine (92), the Seine-Saint-Denis (93) and the Val-de-Marne (94) are seeing the same pattern, just like the Yvelines (78), the Essonne (91), the Seine-et-Marne (77) and the Val-d'Oise (95). We break down the outlook day by day, drawing on forecasts from Météo-France and the expert analyses from Météo Paris, with updates as of Sunday evening, October 11.
This change in the weather pattern is driven by a new anticyclonic blockage, stretching from the Azores to central Europe. According to Météo Paris' analysis, these high pressures are set to linger over France for the entire week of October 12–18.
American and European models were already forecasting a notably milder week than usual, with a roughly 2 to 3 degree swing over seven days, as Météo Paris explained at the time of the temperature drop at the beginning of the month.
The week kicks off on a bright note. Meteo-France forecasts a sky partly veiled by high clouds at dawn, followed by a largely sunny afternoon. Thermometer reads from 9°C in the morning to 18°C in the afternoon, with light winds.
A lightweight knit remains handy for the morning commute. By lunch, it’s usually draped over the arm.
The mild spell settles in clearly on Tuesday, October 13. After a calm night around 14°C, the highs rise to 22°C in the afternoon, four degrees higher than the day before.
A few showers are still possible, but Météo Paris is not forecasting more than 2 millimetres. The folding umbrella can stay at the bottom of your bag.
Wednesday, October 14 is forecast to be dry, with no precipitation expected. Temperatures will dip slightly, from 13°C in the morning to 19°C in the afternoon.
A pleasant day, ideal for outings with the kids on Wednesday afternoon.
Thursday, October 15th marks the mildest spell of the week, with 23°C expected this afternoon in Paris. Mornings will remain cool, around 11°C, but the day is forecast to be dry from dawn to dusk.
A day that feels more like late September than mid-October. It's ideal for a break on a terrace or a stroll along the banks of the Seine.
On Friday, October 16, a touch of cool air returns. Forecasters expect around 13°C in the morning and 19°C in the afternoon, with a chance of light showers, again limited to about 2 mm.
It's the last mild day before the weekend's backdrop changes.
The weekend of October 17–18, 2026 coincides with the start of the All Saints holidays for all three zones, according to the official school calendar. On the weather front, cooler air is making a comeback.
The Saturday, October 17 will stay dry, with no rain expected, but highs will dip to around 15°C. In the early hours, the thermometer reads about 8°C in Paris, surely a touch cooler in the outer suburbs.
Sunday October 18 is set to be the coolest day of the week, with around 7°C at dawn and 13°C in the afternoon. A few showers are possible, with little to no accumulation.
Going from 23°C to 13°C in three days is a bit like autumn took a few days off before getting back to work. The light coat deserves to stay within reach.
Not really this week. Expected rainfall totals remain low, only 0 to 2 millimeters on the wettest days. Bad news for the soils of the Paris region: Météo Paris notes that the 2026 drought now surpasses that of 1976 in many areas, after a September already marked by a historic drought in Météo-France's climate assessment.
The scenario could shift in the coming week. Leading forecast models point to a weakening of the high-pressure system over Western Europe from October 19, bringing more unsettled conditions, with a potential storm risk to watch for toward the end of the month. At this stage, nothing is yet fixed.
From Tuesday to Thursday, the pleasant weather makes you want to stretch the day outdoors. It’s the perfect time to join one of Explore Paris’s guided tours on offer in October, or to dive into our ideas for strolls in Paris and in Île-de-France.
Clear nights under the anticyclone invite stargazing as well. The Orionids meteor shower should remain visible through November 7, with a peak expected on the night of October 21-22.
For a cooler weekend, we naturally turn to the musées et expositions à Paris, to our sorties à faire avec les enfants to kick off the holidays, or to the guide que faire ce week-end à Paris et en Île-de-France, updated weekly.
Forecasts can change from day to day, especially for the weekend. Météo-France’s Île-de-France page and the vigilance map are updated several times a day. Before you head off on holiday, a quick look at the metro, RER and trains traffic update can also help you plan your journeys.
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Dates and Opening Time
From October 12, 2026 to October 18, 2026
Recommended age
For all
