The weather in Paris and the Île-de-France region brings a real cold snap as schools reopen after the Toussaint break, from Monday, November 2, to Sunday, November 8, 2026. Northeasterly winds set in early in the week, sending temperatures plummeting: in Paris (75), morning lows fall to 3 degrees on Wednesday and Thursday, while afternoon highs struggle to rise above 11 or 12 degrees.
This dry cold is affecting the entire region, from the Hauts-de-Seine (92), Seine-Saint-Denis (93) and Val-de-Marne (94) to the Yvelines (78), Essonne (91), Seine-et-Marne (77) and Val-d'Oise (95). In the outer suburbs, away from the city's warmth, light frosts are possible around daybreak.
The figures below are based on Météo-France for Monday and on Météo Paris’s 15-day forecast, updated on Sunday afternoon, November 1. The weekend remains the least certain part of the week.
Everything hinges on what happens over northern Europe. The high-pressure system that shielded France last week is shifting toward Scandinavia, changing the wind direction. According to Météo Paris’s analysis, a continental air flow is then bringing cold air down from Scandinavia and northwestern Russia.
That said, this is not a cold snap. Météo Paris is forecasting temperatures 1 to 3 degrees below seasonal averages this week. Météo-France, for its part, says colder, continental air will arrive in early November, with light frosts possible in some lowland areas.
On Monday, November 2, the first day back at school, skies will remain overcast in the morning before clearing in the afternoon, according to Météo-France. Temperatures will rise from 7 degrees at daybreak to 12 or 13 degrees in the afternoon. No rain is expected, but a light northeasterly wind will make the air feel colder than it looks.
On Tuesday, November 3, the wind will pick up. Météo Paris is forecasting average wind speeds of around 20 km/h, with stronger gusts possible around midday. Morning clouds will give way to a few sunny spells, with temperatures of 7 degrees in the morning and 11 degrees in the afternoon. It will feel considerably colder.
Wednesday, November 4 marks the midweek afternoon lull. The wind shifts east, the weather stays dry, and temperatures peak at 9 degrees in Paris, after starting the day at 4 degrees.
Thursday, November 5, a day of strikes and demonstrations, is set to be calm and sunny. It’ll be a chilly start, with temperatures at 3 degrees in Paris, and those in the outer suburbs could dip below zero under clear skies. Temperatures will climb to 11 degrees in the afternoon. For those heading to demonstrations or opting to cycle because there are no trains, gloves and a hat will come in handy.
Friday, November 6 starts off very chilly again, at around 3 degrees, before rising to 12 degrees. Météo Paris mentions possible incursions of Mediterranean air, bringing a few showers, with little accumulation (no more than 2 millimeters). The wind, meanwhile, dies down almost completely.
It’s the big unknown this week. In its Sunday update, Météo Paris forecasts a milder Saturday, November 7, with temperatures of 8 to 12 degrees, southwesterly winds and a chance of showers. Sunday, November 8, is expected to follow the same pattern, with temperatures of 6 to 11 degrees and a few possible raindrops.
The website acknowledges considerable uncertainty about these two days. Another scenario, put forward in late October, instead predicted that frosts would spread across the north and east of the country starting this weekend. So it’s best to check the forecast on Friday before planning an outdoor outing.
For Monday, November 9, Météo Paris is forecasting probably more unsettled weather, with a risk of rain and temperatures of 5 to 10 degrees. What happens next will depend on whether the high-pressure system to the north holds: if it does, cold air could remain trapped near the ground, with fog and low clouds.
Snowfall scenarios for the lowlands around November 10, circulating on social media, remain extremely unlikely: Météo Paris puts the chances of them happening in France at between 0 and 5%. As for air quality, Airparif said on Sunday that conditions across the region were average, with no pollution episode. Any alerts can be tracked on the Météo-France weather alert map.
Thursday’s sunshine is perfect for a stroll, as long as you wrap up warm and make the most of the middle of the day, when temperatures rise a little. The rest of the time, the northeasterly wind is more likely to send you looking for shelter in the city’s museums and exhibitions or at the latest movie releases.
To plan your week, our guide to what to do in Paris this week brings together the best ideas for the moment, while our guide to weekends in Paris and Île-de-France takes over for Saturday and Sunday, rain or shine.
Finally, travel will also be disrupted this week, with an SNCF strike on Thursday, November 5, and metro line 6 closed on Sunday. The disruptions this week and the metro, RER and train traffic update can help you plan ahead.
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Dates and Opening Time
From November 2, 2026 to November 8, 2026
Recommended age
For all
