Ex-hurricane Humberto, transformed into a depression, is approachingEurope and attracting the attention of meteorologists. After merging with tropical storm Imelda off the US coast, this low-pressure system is crossing the Atlantic towards the British Isles. For France, and in particular the Île-de-France region, the situation is still uncertain, but Météo-France is already forecasting very disturbed weather over the northern half of the country this weekend, with heavy rain and gusts of up to 80 km/h.
The meteorological phenomenon ahead is relatively rare. The merging of two tropical systems, Humberto and Imelda, has generated an explosive low-pressure system heading for the northeast Atlantic. According to La Chaîne Météo, this disturbed mass will mainly hit Ireland and the United Kingdom with torrential rain, particularly over the highlands of western Ireland, Wales and Scotland. The north of Scotland could even be hit by gusts close to 200 km/h, accompanied by raging seas in the North Atlantic.
For France, the exact trajectory of this low-pressure system has yet to be determined. While current forecasts suggest that France will be relatively spared from the heart of the storm, the northern half of the country will not escape its indirect effects. By late Friday, a cold front associated with this low-pressure system is set to reach the Channel coast, bringing with it rain and wind. Brittany and the Channel coast will be the first to be affected by these deteriorating conditions.
On Saturday, the disturbance will continue eastwards, gradually affecting the Île-de-France and northern and eastern regions. Rainfall will be sustained at times, with locally heavy totals. Winds will also strengthen, with gusts reaching 60-80 km/h inland, and potentially higher on exposed coasts. Seas will be particularly rough along the Atlantic and Channel coasts, with heavy swells persisting throughout the weekend.
Temperatures will remain cool over the northern half of the country, fluctuating between 11 and 18 degrees, reinforcing the well-established autumnal mood. Saturday afternoon will give way to unstable cloudy skies, with sunny spells alternating with showers and sustained winds. Occasional thunderstorms cannot be ruled out, adding to the general instability.
According to Actu.fr, this atmospheric configuration could generate one of the strongest lows for an October in forty years over the British Isles. Humberto's power, combined with an intense upper air current, explains the violence of the winds expected, particularly in Scotland. For France, even if we don't experience the most violent impacts, weather conditions will remain difficult and will require a certain degree of vigilance.
There's no need for panic in the Paris region, but vigilance is called for. Although the Paris region is not expected to experience the most violent winds, the forecast gusts and sustained rainfall could still complicate travel this weekend. The capital's parks and gardens, such as the Bois de Boulogne and the Bois de Vincennes, may be less inviting than usual. It's best to opt for sheltered activities if you're planning to go out.
Météo-France forecasts will continue to be refined over the next few hours, enabling us to pinpoint the exact trajectory of this low-pressure system and its real impact on our territory. In the meantime, we recommend that you stay informed via regularly updated weather bulletins, and postpone any non-essential travel if conditions deteriorate further than forecast.
There are a few simple steps you can take to ensure a peaceful weekend. Secure objects likely to fly off your balconies or into your gardens. If you live by the sea, avoid approaching the coastline, as the swell can be dangerous, even if France remains relatively unscathed. Motorists will need to be extra cautious, especially on exposed roads such as bridges or high sections of the Paris region expressways.
This phenomenon is a reminder that autumn can bring its share of meteorological surprises, even when the most violent systems remain at bay. So, this weekend, we're opting for a sheltered program: cinema, museums, exhibitions or a cosy restaurant. The capital is full of alternatives for making the most of the weekend without having to face the capricious elements.
Dates and Opening Time
From October 3, 2025 to October 5, 2025
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