Six Nations Tournament 2026: Can France secure the victory this Saturday?

Published by Cécile de Sortiraparis · Updated on March 13, 2026 at 08:18 p.m.
Three wins, one loss, and a final match that could turn everything around... Can the French rugby team still hope to lift the Six Nations Trophy? Here are the possible scenarios.

The Six Nations Tournament 2026 was full of thrill and drama. The French team kicked off the competition in stellar form, chalking up convincing victories against Italy, Ireland, and Wales. But then, a formidable wall appeared. The opponents played exceptionally well, and the French couldn’t secure the Grand Slam this year, narrowly losing the match 50 to 40. Scotland put a stop to France’s winning streak. Nevertheless, all is not lost! There’s one final game remaining — a crucial showdown to be played on Saturday, March 14 at the Stade de France.

For their final match, the French players face England, their longstanding rivals. The French team will need to be at their best — in fact, exceptionally sharp — if they hope to lift the Six Nations trophy. Do they stand a chance?

Three wins and one loss: the record is respectable, but is it enough? First, let’s take a quick look at the points accumulated by each team, along with the current standings in this competition. As of March 13, 2026, the scores are:

  • France - 16 points: 4 matches played - 3 wins - 1 loss - bonus: 4 - point difference: +79
  • Scotland - 16 points: 4 matches played - 3 wins - 1 loss - bonus: 4 - point difference: +21
  • Ireland - 14 points: 4 matches played - 3 wins - 1 loss - bonus: 2 - point difference: +16
  • Italy - 9 points: 4 matches played - 2 wins - 2 losses - bonus: 1 - point difference: -24
  • England - 6 points: 4 matches played - 1 win - 3 losses - bonus: 2 - point difference: +4
  • Wales - 1 point: 4 matches played - 0 wins - 4 losses - bonus: 1 - point difference: -96

What do these numbers really mean? At first glance, the top three are neck and neck, with Scotland and France posting very similar results. Are these two nations about to battle it out for the top spot?

The ranking is based on a variety of data points. Yes, winning a match is essential. But that alone doesn’t guarantee dominance: teams also need to score as many tries as possible (more than four in a game to earn the offensive bonus) or lose by the smallest margin (a difference of seven points or less to earn the defensive bonus).

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Thanks to these bonuses and the points gained or conceded during matches, each country climbs the rankings to varying degrees. The overall point difference (+79 for France, +21 for Scotland) helps establish a more accurate hierarchy. It's these statistics that reveal clear disparities between the teams.

For now, France holds a slight lead... but that advantage could quickly vanish depending on the results of the upcoming matches. The French national team still has a chance to win this year's Six Nations, provided certain conditions are met.

What’s the key to winning this Saturday?

On Saturday, France faces England, while Ireland takes on Scotland. These two matches have the potential to dramatically shake up the current standings. One thing is certain: if France loses its final game, it won't claim the tournament title. Instead, the winners will be either Scotland or Ireland, depending on the outcomes of their respective matches.

Should France beat England and also secure the bonus point for offense, they could find themselves at the top of the standings. However, caution is advised: if Scotland wins their match with a bonus point for offense and scores enough tries to catch up with France's total points, then the final victory could slip away.

The Chardon's XV team will ideally need to lose against Ireland, or win without earning any offensive bonus points, to guarantee France's overall victory. It all comes down to these point and bonus calculations.

As you might have guessed, the French rugby team will need to give it their all in this final match to clinch the trophy. A fierce battle awaits, as the English are far from ready to let the French triumph, even though they won't be able to win the tournament this year. Spectators at Stade de France will need to cheer passionately for the hosts!

Whatever the results of the final day's competition, no nation will achieve a Grand Slam, as each country has lost at least one match. So don't miss these suspenseful final matches, which ensure a thrilling tournament!

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